SPICOSA - SAF.eu

Appraisal Step Supporting Information

Useful reading material

Key references

Allen, J. I., Somerfield, P. J., Gilbert, F. J.- 2007. Quantifying uncertainty in high-resolution coupled hydrodynamic-ecosystem models. J. Mar. Syst., 64:3-14.

Benincà, E., Huisman, J., Heerkloss, Jöhnk, K. D., Branco, P., Van Nes, E. H., Scheffer, M., Ellner, S. P.- 2008. Chaos in a long-term experiment with a plankton community. Nature, 451: 822-825.

Carpenter, S. R., Pingali, P. L., Bennett, E. M., Zureck, M. B. (Eds.).- 2005. Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios,  Millennium Ecosystem Assessment Series, Vol. 2. World Resources Institute, Island Press, Washington, DC.

Engelen, G., Uljee, I., van de Ven, K.- 2003. WADBOS: Integrating knowledge to support policy-making in the Dutch Wadden sea. In: Geertman, S., Stillwell, J. (Eds.), Planning Support Systems in practice, Advances in Spatial Science, Springer-Verlag, pp. 513-537.

European Environment Agency.- 2001. Scenarios as tools for international environmental assessments. Environmental issue report n.24, Copenhagen, Denmark.

Freissinet C., Vauclin, M., de Bruyn, B.- 2001. Utilisation couplée des techniques d'analyse spatiale et de l'arithmétique floue pour évaluer la vulnérabilité d'un bassin versant (Combined use of spatial analysis techniques and fuzzy arithmetic to evaluate catchment area vulnerability). In "Geographical information and regional planning", volume on "Spatial risk management", pp. 47-61, Edition Hermés, ISBN 2-7462-0319-7.

Freissinet, C., Vauclin, M., Erlich, M.- 1999. Comparison of first-order analysis and fuzzy set approach for the evaluation of imprecision in a pesticide groundwater poluution screening model. Journal of Contaminant Hydrology, 37: 21-43.

Goh, B. S.- 1977. Global stability in many-species systems. The American Naturalist, 111: 135-143.

HarmoniQuA Consortium, HarmoniQuA’s Modelling Support Tool (MoST), version 3.1.5.

Huisman, J., Weissing, F. J.- 1999. Biodiversity of plankton by species oscillations and chaos. Nature, 402: 407-410.

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Nebojsa Nakicenovic and Rob Swart  (Eds.).- 2000. IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios, Cambridge University Press, UK.

Lima, I. D., Olson, D. B., Doney, S. C.- 2002. Intrinsic dynamics and stability properties of size-structured pelagic ecosystem models. J. Plankton Res., 24: 533-536.

Melaku Canu D., Solidoro C., Cossarini G., Giorgi F. (Submitted). Effects of Global changes on clam aquaculture in Venice Lagoon Climate research (under revision in Climate Research).

Millennium Ecosystem Assessment.- 2005. Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios,  Millennium Ecosystem Assessment Series, vol. 2. World Resources Institute, Island Press, Washington, DC.

Morecroft, J.- 2007. Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics. John Wiley and Sons, 430 pp.

Moss, R. H., Schneider, S. H.- 2000. Uncertainties in IPCC TAR. Recommendation to Lead Authors for more consistent Assessment and Reporting. In: Pachuari, R., Taniguchi, T., Tanaka, K. (Eds.). Guidance papers on the cross-cutting issues of the Third Assessment Report of IPCC. Geneva, Switzerland, World Meteorological Organization, 33-51.

Odum, H. T., Odum, E. C.-2000. Modelling for all Scales. An Introduction to System Simulation. Academic Press, San Diego, California, 458 pp.

Pascual P., Stiber N., Sunderland E. – 2003. The Council for Regulatory Environmental Modelling Draft Guidance on the Development, Evaluation and Application of Regulatory environmental models. Office of Science Policy, Washington, D. C. www.epa.gov/crem/library/CREMguidancedraft12_03.pdf.

Refsgaard, J. C., Henriksen, H. J.- 2004. Modelling guidelines- terminology and guiding principles. Advances in Water Resources, 27: 71-82.

Rosen, R.- 1970. Dynamical System Theory in Biology. Vol I. Stability Theory and its Applications. Wiley-Interscience, New York, London, etc., 302 pp.

Solidoro C., Cossarini, G., Libralato, S.,  Salon, S.- 2010.  Remarks on the redefinition of system boundaries and model parameterization for downscaling experiments. Progress in Oceanography, 84: 134–137

Stella.- 2001. Introduction to Systems Thinking. High Performance Systems Inc.

Sterman, J. D.- 2002. All models are wrong : reflections on becoming a systems scientist. System Dynamics Review, 18: 501-531.

STOWA/RIZA.- 1999. Smooth modelling in Water management, Good Modelling Practice Handbook; STOWA report 99-05, Dutch Dept. Of Public Works, Institute for Inland Water Management and Waste Water treatment report 99.036, ISBN 90-5773-056-1.

Wang, S., Nijkamp, P., Verhoef, E.- 2001. Modelling externalities between ecological and economic systems.  Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper. TI 2001-098/3